Causal chain for Brazilian power risk: forecast rainfall over the Southeast/South (leads reservoir levels by ~2-4 weeks) → stored hydro energy per subsystem and its 7-day slope, from the grid operator → likelihood of thermal dispatch and cost pressure. Brazil runs on hydro: this is the upstream of industrial energy cost, and the rule and its limits travel in the response. Free sample, no payment: https://api.brazilayer.com/v1/cadeias/amostra

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