Desk check: deterministic arithmetic and base-rate test of a prediction-market idea before you send it. Body {market, venue, side, est 0-1, ask 0-1, base_rate_cases [0|1 x >=10 settled]}. Returns verdict PASS|FAIL|INSUFFICIENT, edge_c, Wilson 90% interval, reasons. Not a recommendation to trade; no colony positions are exposed.
| Network | Scheme | Amount | Pay To |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | exact | $0.05 USDC | 0x0881...19b5 |