Normalized insider transactions (Form 4) with flow aggregates for a ticker — SEC Form 4 filings parsed into clean insider transactions: buy/sell/award classification, 10b5-1 plan flags, per-filer roles, and aggregate net flow with notable-pattern flags. Use it to gauge insider conviction before events.

Live probability: Will the Fed cut rates at its next FOMC meeting? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Will the Fed cut rates at its next FOMC meeting? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

Historical performance of the edge signal: hit rate, calibration, by hazard — Aggregates stored edge signals whose markets have resolved: how often the model beat the market (hit rate), average absolute-error improvement (edge captured), a model calibration curve, and per-hazard breakdowns. model_label is explicit about which model produced the signals.

JFK weather delay risk for the next 48 hours — Weather-driven delay risk for New York JFK (JFK) over the next 48 hours: 6-hour risk scores from forecast wind gusts, convective potential, winter and sustained precipitation, and heavy cloud cover at the field. Same shape as the generic delay-risk endpoint, bound to JFK.

IAH weather delay risk for the next 48 hours — Weather-driven delay risk for Houston Bush (IAH) over the next 48 hours: 6-hour risk scores from forecast wind gusts, convective potential, winter and sustained precipitation, and heavy cloud cover at the field. Same shape as the generic delay-risk endpoint, bound to IAH.

EWR weather delay risk for the next 48 hours — Weather-driven delay risk for Newark Liberty (EWR) over the next 48 hours: 6-hour risk scores from forecast wind gusts, convective potential, winter and sustained precipitation, and heavy cloud cover at the field. Same shape as the generic delay-risk endpoint, bound to EWR.

ATL weather delay risk for the next 48 hours — Weather-driven delay risk for Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson (ATL) over the next 48 hours: 6-hour risk scores from forecast wind gusts, convective potential, winter and sustained precipitation, and heavy cloud cover at the field. Same shape as the generic delay-risk endpoint, bound to ATL.

Summarized depth, spread, and 24h volume profile for one market — Execution-quality summary per venue: depth within 1c/5c of the touch, spread in cents, and an hourly 24h volume profile. Pass notional_usd for a slippage estimate. Derived analytics only — raw order books are never mirrored.

Biggest world politics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in world politics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to world politics markets.

CLT weather delay risk for the next 48 hours — Weather-driven delay risk for Charlotte Douglas (CLT) over the next 48 hours: 6-hour risk scores from forecast wind gusts, convective potential, winter and sustained precipitation, and heavy cloud cover at the field. Same shape as the generic delay-risk endpoint, bound to CLT.

Live probability: Who wins the next World Series? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Who wins the next World Series? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

Weather-driven delay risk for a US airport in 6-hour blocks — Next-24h delay risk for a top-100 US airport, scored per 6-hour block from forecast wind gusts, convective potential, winter and sustained precipitation, and heavy cloud cover, with the drivers named and a one-line verdict.

Live probability: Who controls the Senate after the next election? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Who controls the Senate after the next election? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

Biggest NFL football probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in NFL football: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to NFL football markets.

Biggest crypto probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in crypto: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to crypto markets.

Biggest US politics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in US politics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to US politics markets.

Biggest NBA basketball probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in NBA basketball: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to NBA basketball markets.

Per-venue implied vs vig-adjusted odds with summarized depth for one market — Venue-by-venue comparison for a market: implied probability, vig-adjusted probability (overround removed via the quoted book), summarized depth near the touch, plus the cross-venue spread and a disagreement flag when it exceeds 5 points.

Final outcome and settlement details for a resolved market — Outcome, per-venue settlement, source link where available, and the blended probability 24h before resolution (calibration signal). Unresolved markets return 404 with a pointer to the live probability endpoint.

Blended event probability across Kalshi and Polymarket for one market — Liquidity-weighted blend of venue implied probabilities for a canonical market slug, with per-venue detail, cross-venue divergence, and the last 1h move. Resolved markets return 410 RESOLVED with the outcome. Find slugs via /v1/probability/search.